The better than expected jobless rate in the U.K. and a bullish outlook provided by the Bank of England at its latest meeting minutes helped the pound spike higher in early deals on Wednesday. The central bank, however, rejected the probability of raising rates in haste even though the unemployment rate may reach its threshold earlier than forecast.
Policymakers of the Bank of England were unanimous in the decision to hold the interest rate and quantitative easing at the meeting held on January 8 and 9, the minutes of the meeting showed. The nine-member Monetary Policy Committee voted to retain the 0.50 percent record low interest rate and quantitative easing at GBP 375 billion.
With the unemployment rate remaining above the 7 percent, the Committee’s policy guidance remained in place and no member thought it appropriate to tighten, or to loosen, the stance of monetary policy at the current juncture, the minutes said.
Unemployment rate in the United Kingdom declined more than expected in the three months to November to 7.1 percent, just a tad above the Bank of England’s threshold for increasing interest rates. This was the lowest rate ever recorded since December-February period of 2009. In June-August, the jobless rate stood at 7.7 percent. Economists had forecast a decrease to 7.3 percent.
Elsewhere, the Bank of Japan decided to keep its monetary easing plan unchanged and retained its inflation forecasts for the next two years, strengthening expectations that the central bank may keep the policy steady at least for now, with consumer prices evolving in line with its forecasts.
At the end of a two-day meeting of the nine-member Policy Board, led by Governor Haruhiko Kuroda, the central bank said it would keep the target of the monetary base expansion at an annual pace of JPY 60-70 trillion. The decision to hold rates led a widespread yen selling across the board although it recaptured some lost ground just ahead of the European session.
The BoJ said further that the economy has continued to recover moderately, but observed that there has been a front-loaded increase in demand ahead of April’s consumption tax hike. Overseas economies, particularly advanced economies, are starting to recover, despite overall “lackluster performance”.
The central bank’s growth estimate for fiscal 2013 remained unchanged at 2.7 percent growth it forecast in October, while the outlook for fiscal 2014 was downwardly revised to 1.4 percent from 1.5 percent. The gross domestic product is forecast to expand at a steady pace of 1.5 percent in fiscal 2015.
Japan’s leading economic index rose to 111.1 in November from 109.8 in October and 109.1 in September. At the same time, the coincident economic index moved up to 110.7 in November from 110.4 in the prior month. Japan’s all industry activity rebounded to 0.3 percent month-on-month in November, partially offsetting the 0.4 percent drop in October. On a yearly basis, all industry activity growth remained unchanged at 1.7 percent in November.
The pound rose to 1.6552 against the US dollar around 5:00 am ET, its highest level since January 2. Last week’s failed test of 1.63 support and a subsequent rebound suggest the present bullish wave for the cable may continue until breaking the 1.66 resistance as the pair is moving well-above its key simple moving average levels.
The sterling jumped to 1.5082 against the Swiss franc around the same time, a level last seen in November 2012. Against the European shared currency, the British unit climbed to a fresh one-year high of 0.8181. The pound also advanced to a 12-day high of 172.73 against the yen around 5:10 am ET.
Despite some brief corrections, the pound has been trading in higher notes against most of its major peers in past several months and its solid performance made it a favorite feed for currency bulls. Next upside target levels for the British currency are seen at 1.5150 against the Swiss franc, 0.8150 against the euro and 173.20 against the yen.
The material has been provided by InstaForex Company – www.instaforex.com
Read more here: Pound Soars As UK Unemployment Hits Near BoE Threshold
Pound Soars As UK Unemployment Hits Near BoE Threshold